3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Other
· Active
· 264 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,808/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$183/mo
Annual
$2,196/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.6% below list).
It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#163 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: A. Montoya Elementary (410 students, 44% FRL); Roosevelt Middle (381 students, 34% FRL); Nex Gen Academy (math 70% / reading 90%, grade A, #3 of 110 statewide, top 5%, 237 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 60% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 63% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albuquerque Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J5F3CBFMQRD1WA
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29