3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,345 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-436/mo
Annual
$-5,230/yr
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.94%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-436 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (23.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (31.5% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#488 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Valley View ISD (suburban): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #631 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J5VXA5AEAKKPKB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29