2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1946
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,516/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,158
Net cashflow
$3,054/mo
Annual
$36,648/yr
Cap rate
24.17%
Cash-on-cash
63.85%
DSCR
3.84
1% rule
2.69%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 5 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $611/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $205k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Northridge Elementary School (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,584 statewide, top 84%, 734 students, 0% FRL); Northridge Middle School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #639 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 354 students, 0% FRL); Northridge High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 422 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,516/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J63H940NYCNW9R
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29