1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
898 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 219 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$406
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$689
Net cashflow
$1,145/mo
Annual
$13,737/yr
Cap rate
15.51%
Cash-on-cash
32.93%
DSCR
2.47
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,283/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J68985CH337CW1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29