2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
918 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$968/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$211/mo
Annual
$2,532/yr
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.32%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#149 in IA, #2,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Monticello Community School District (town): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #131 of 289 in IA (top 45%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Carpenter Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 196 students, 44% FRL); Monticello Middle School (math 65% / reading 69%, grade A-, #140 of 246 statewide, top 60%, 299 students, 34% FRL); Monticello High School (math 68% / reading 80%, grade B+, #103 of 336 statewide, top 32%, 366 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 25 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jones County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J68Y9Q4YHDDDSD
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29