3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,395 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$410/mo
Annual
$4,919/yr
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.69%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#513 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Twin Rivers Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 330 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and small
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and exposed
Major: flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Minor: paint
— some peeling
CashFlowRE · CFR-J69BPM402523DR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29