3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,643 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$46
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$-235/mo
Annual
$-2,823/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.95%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (16.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (30.2% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J6Z5FB12X2Q0EA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29