1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
722 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Land
· Coming Soon
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,221/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$481/mo
Annual
$5,770/yr
Cap rate
14.54%
Cash-on-cash
29.44%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#541 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A-, housing B+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.6% in Paradise — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J76AERBD61SB5N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29