115 Bailey Ln

Youngsville, LA 70592

$256,963D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,642 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Pending · 7 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,216/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,343
• Tax + insurance: −$427
• HOA: −$32
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$465
• Net cashflow: $-52/mo
• Annual: $-618/yr
• Cap rate: 6.05%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.86%
• DSCR: 0.96
• 1% rule: 0.87%
• Cash to close: $71,723

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $257k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-618/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (3.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (13.8% below list).
• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $222k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Martial Billeaud Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #79 of 646 statewide, top 13%, 822 students, 46% FRL); Broussard Middle School (math 38% / reading 51%, grade D, #49 of 218 statewide, top 23%, 581 students, 60% FRL); Southside High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #30 of 265 statewide, top 12%, 1,910 students, 39% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 684 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.