8 bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1983
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,276/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,931
Tax + insurance
−$932
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,108
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,659/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.34%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$156,520
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $559k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $528k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($542k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $528k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $39k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#131 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 48509% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $157k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.4% in Toccoa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,276/mo this rent would consume 118% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 594% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J80KJGF73PM8WX
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29