4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,665 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,799/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,245
Tax + insurance
−$713
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$-1,537/mo
Annual
$-18,445/yr
Cap rate
1.98%
Cash-on-cash
-15.39%
DSCR
0.32
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$119,857
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#224 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, commute F.
Watertown Unified School District (town): math 36% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #221 of 342 in WI (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 642090.4% of price.
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: kitchen countertops
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: kitchen appliances
— dated and in need of updating
CashFlowRE · CFR-J99GZ1C3XF25P3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29