1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
640 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$201/mo
Annual
$2,408/yr
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.26%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $75k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,439 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Ellwood City Area SD (town): math 28% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #334 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $52k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J9KRZP5DBCCTYY
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29