1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
754 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,879/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$360
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$-6/mo
Annual
$-69/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.15%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-69/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (0.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $164k (0.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $489 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in FL, #608 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tangelo Park Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 457 students, 83% FRL); Freedom Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,159 students, 44% FRL); Freedom High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,623 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $165k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J9W9Q00WWTNB1A
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29