4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,624 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$-465/mo
Annual
$-5,575/yr
Cap rate
4.11%
Cash-on-cash
-7.81%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.51%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-465 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (32.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (48.9% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (48.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#259 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Midland School District (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $255k implies a 686% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29