4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,268 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,484/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$247
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$312
Net cashflow
$149/mo
Annual
$1,793/yr
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.33%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$41,440
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $148k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $148k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Zoned schools: Sutton Village School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #141 of 192 statewide, top 77%, 113 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Green cabinets need repainting or replacement
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— No visible fixtures
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-JADKR9D197XWX3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29