3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,046/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-583/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.54%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-583/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (6.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (22.5% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#461 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pulaski County (town): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #69 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pulaski County Elementary School (math 38% / reading 32%, grade F, #523 of 1,228 statewide, top 43%, 633 students, 100% FRL); Pulaski County Middle School (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 309 students, 72% FRL); Hawkinsville High School (math 42% / reading 34%, grade F, #64 of 424 statewide, top 15%, 388 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.3% in Hawkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JAJD524F5R1YF6
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29