3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,671 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,532/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$626
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-541/yr
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.60%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-541/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (6.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#243 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Eastern Howard School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #100 of 301 in IN (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Eastern Elementary School (math 50% / reading 39%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 770 students, 45% FRL); Eastern Middle School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #152 of 330 statewide, top 47%, 397 students, 48% FRL); Eastern High School (math 42% / reading 82%, grade B-, #41 of 369 statewide, top 12%, 467 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 194 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howard County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Greentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JBTWWX4B0TF9ES
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29