2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,034 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Other
· Active
· 504 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$608
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$64/mo
Annual
$771/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.37%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$32,480
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $116k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($771/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (15.2% below list).
It's been on market 504 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($802 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#188 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
Mountainair Public Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #25 of 29 in NM (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP.
Torrance County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 504 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe peeling and damage
Major: interior walls
— Severe damage and peeling
Major: HVAC system
— Severe clutter and damage
Major: roof
— Severe clutter and damage
Major: windows
— Severe clutter and damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-JC12HSFEDKQH3Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29