3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,716 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 337 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$223/mo
Annual
$2,670/yr
Cap rate
10.74%
Cash-on-cash
15.90%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in TX, #2,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Sonora ISD (town): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #189 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Sutton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JC1ZPW9FKD40YZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29