3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,626/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$403
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$43/mo
Annual
$513/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($513/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#340 in PA, #2,990 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Upper Darby SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #453 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bywood El Sch (math 5% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,358 of 1,518 statewide, top 90%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Beverly Hills Ms (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #469 of 512 statewide, top 92%, 1,523 students, 100% FRL); Upper Darby Shs (math 46% / reading 47%, grade D-, #176 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 4,191 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 52% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $160k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JCVRQJBXMBKG5X
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29