4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,426 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,382/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$131/mo
Annual
$1,578/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (0.5% below list).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#220 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Dighton (rural): math 35% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #137 of 280 in KS (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dighton Elem (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #165 of 684 statewide, top 28%, 162 students, 46% FRL); Dighton High (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 95 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Lane County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $139k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29