3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,705 sqft ·
Built 2011
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$235
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-255/mo
Annual
$-3,060/yr
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.77%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (15.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (34.5% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $190k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#151 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Richlands Elementary (math 44% / reading 40%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 642 students, 52% FRL); Trexler Middle (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #206 of 475 statewide, top 44%, 825 students, 45% FRL); Richlands High (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 960 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 93% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.0% in Richlands — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JD8C7N06CMRY1N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29