3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,192/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$142
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$690/mo
Annual
$8,274/yr
Cap rate
39.89%
Cash-on-cash
119.99%
DSCR
6.34
1% rule
4.41%
Cash to close
$7,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $891 of equity ($187 loan paydown + $704 appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,392 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
Rising Star ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #773 of 1,141 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rising Star El (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 94 students, 68% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Eastland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eastland County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JD9NTJ2YX78HJY
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29