3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,841 sqft ·
Built 1904
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 192 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,146/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,596
Tax + insurance
−$1,033
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$-1,933/mo
Annual
$-23,199/yr
Cap rate
1.61%
Cash-on-cash
-16.74%
DSCR
0.26
1% rule
0.43%
Cash to close
$138,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $495k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (59.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (56.6% below list).
It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (59.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Congdon Elementary (math 71% / reading 76%, grade A, #41 of 857 statewide, top 5%, 452 students, 20% FRL); Ordean East Middle School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 989 students, 26% FRL); East High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,494 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $168k; list at $495k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 1.6% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JDH3T04VZ235EK
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29