3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,776 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,347/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$909/mo
Annual
$10,906/yr
Cap rate
61.10%
Cash-on-cash
195.73%
DSCR
9.71
1% rule
6.77%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($138 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,060 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
Prattsburgh Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #572 of 755 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JE9E256A2CH63X
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29