3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,535/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$728
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$-34/mo
Annual
$-409/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.05%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$38,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-409/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (4.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $960 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#11 in IA, #336 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
West Des Moines Community School District (urban): math 66% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #133 of 289 in IA (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Crossroads Park Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 521 students, 33% FRL); Indian Hills Junior High School (math 65% / reading 72%, grade A, #126 of 246 statewide, top 53%, 696 students, 45% FRL); Valley High School (math 71% / reading 81%, grade A-, #75 of 336 statewide, top 23%, 2,152 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $139k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in West Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JEMEZ61PNAN5F8
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29