3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$276
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$255/mo
Annual
$3,063/yr
Cap rate
14.59%
Cash-on-cash
29.65%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Salmon River Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #545 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Salmon River Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 317 students, 71% FRL); Salmon River Middle School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #678 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 313 students, 77% FRL); Salmon River High School (math 98% / reading 72%, grade A, #374 of 1,100 statewide, top 34%, 396 students, 69% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JEMFSFERPEC3MS
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29