4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,191 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Pending
· 222 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,992
Tax + insurance
−$633
HOA
−$23
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-831/mo
Annual
$-9,971/yr
Cap rate
3.67%
Cash-on-cash
-9.37%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$106,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-831 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (31.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (39.4% below list).
It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($176k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JEMVSDATWDPZG6
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29