4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,575 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,455/yr
Cap rate
27.43%
Cash-on-cash
75.49%
DSCR
4.36
1% rule
3.10%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#37 in KS, #2,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Rawlins County (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #95 of 280 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Rawlins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rawlins County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JF2AXV839FK9P7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29