2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$364
Net cashflow
$850/mo
Annual
$10,204/yr
Cap rate
19.90%
Cash-on-cash
48.59%
DSCR
3.16
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $982 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#151 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, commute D, crime F.
T Or C Municipal Schools (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #29 of 29 in NM (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: T Or C Elementary (389 students, 100% FRL); T Or C Middle (283 students, 100% FRL); Hot Springs High (361 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.
Sierra County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn countertops and dated cabinets suggest a need for replacement or renovation.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and stained fixtures indicate a significant need for replacement.
Minor: Exterior siding
— Some wear and tear, but not severe enough to require immediate action.
Minor: Interior walls
— Peeling paint and discoloration suggest a need for touch-up or repainting.
Minor: Landscaping
— Minimal landscaping and unkempt yard suggest a need for some maintenance.
Major: Windows
— Old and possibly inefficient windows suggest a need for replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JFWKG0EEX38N7H
· Data 49 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29