4 bd · 0.0 ba ·
1,155 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,070
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,983/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.47%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$57,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $204k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $83/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (7.9% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $160k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.3% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-JG3C6Z6PDRAD02
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29