2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,507/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$785
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$341
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$-178/mo
Annual
$-2,137/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.10%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$41,938
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (21.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#50 in MN, #1,308 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F.
Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Palmer Lake Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #732 of 857 statewide, top 88%, 481 students, 76% FRL); Brooklyn Middle Steam School (math 20% / reading 41%, grade F, #192 of 258 statewide, top 77%, 978 students, 70% FRL); Park Center Ib World School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #369 of 471 statewide, top 79%, 1,908 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 32% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Osseo Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.0% in Brooklyn Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JG8MBJ1HHCDPN0
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29