2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,071 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,967/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$723
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$601/mo
Annual
$7,212/yr
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.68%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$38,612
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $953 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#106 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A-, employment B+, crime B; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Durango School District No. 9-R (town): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #30 of 86 in CO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary School (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #393 of 966 statewide, top 41%, 439 students, 18% FRL); Miller Middle School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #129 of 270 statewide, top 51%, 415 students, 23% FRL); Durango High School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #70 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,369 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 582 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in La Plata County in 2024 (93 in 5+ unit buildings).
La Plata County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 1.1% in Durango — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JGKV819J2XDHSE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29