170 NE 48th St

Miami, FL 33137

$995,000D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,170 sqft · Built 1952 · MultiFamily · Active · 61 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $7,642/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,218
• Tax + insurance: −$1,246
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,605
• Net cashflow: $-426/mo
• Annual: $-5,117/yr
• Cap rate: 5.78%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.84%
• DSCR: 0.92
• 1% rule: 0.77%
• Cash to close: $278,600

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $995k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-213/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $920k (7.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $764k (23.2% below list).
• It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($935k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $764k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Toussaint L'Ouverture Elementary (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 337 students, 75% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 68% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 758 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $330k; list at $995k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?