4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,948 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,826/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,569
Tax + insurance
−$674
HOA
−$46
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$-1,056/mo
Annual
$-12,677/yr
Cap rate
3.71%
Cash-on-cash
-9.24%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$137,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $490k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (38.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (42.3% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $283k (42.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#279 in OH, #4,589 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $220k; list at $490k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$84k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JH5Q4VDFCYFHAT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29