3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,716/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$328
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$360
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-253/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.45%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-253/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#179 in OH, #2,767 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Brookville Local (suburban): math 70% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #102 of 656 in OH (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Brookville Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 491 students, 25% FRL); Brookville Intermediate School (math 72% / reading 80%, grade A, #74 of 654 statewide, top 12%, 567 students, 0% FRL); Brookville High School (math 57% / reading 82%, grade B, #106 of 781 statewide, top 16%, 418 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Brookville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JH9A20072KX1ZK
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29