3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,530 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 227 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$385/mo
Annual
$4,617/yr
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.40%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#545 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Lookeba Sickles (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 513 in OK (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lookeba-Sickles Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 135 students, 0% FRL); Lookeba-Sickles Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 52 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lookeba Sickles average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Caddo County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $85k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JHJDN2EWFN5YTE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29