2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Pending
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$983/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$79
Tax + insurance
−$13
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$685/mo
Annual
$8,220/yr
Cap rate
61.09%
Cash-on-cash
195.71%
DSCR
9.71
1% rule
6.55%
Cash to close
$4,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $14k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $554 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $450 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#833 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
North Daviess R-III (rural): math 11% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #487 of 535 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Daviess County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29