3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Manufactured
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$392
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$647
Net cashflow
$811/mo
Annual
$9,737/yr
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.80%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#509 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Webber Elementary (325 students, 87% FRL); Helen Stacey Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 865 students, 62% FRL); Westminster High (math 51% / reading 68%, grade C+, #205 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,637 students, 87% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-32 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntington Beach Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 1.9% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JKA4K20SJ4EQTX
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29