5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,040 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,201/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$891
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,302
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,619/yr
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.33%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $675k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $620k (8.1% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $620k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#43 in PA, #238 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D.
Upper Merion Area SD (suburban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #71 of 539 in PA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Roberts El Sch (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #202 of 1,518 statewide, top 15%, 286 students, 31% FRL); Upper Merion Ms (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #129 of 512 statewide, top 26%, 1,282 students, 47% FRL); Upper Merion Hs (math 75% / reading 24%, grade D+, #135 of 437 statewide, top 31%, 1,345 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; list at $675k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.8% in King of Prussia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,201/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 1246% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JKP5NH883RD1JE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29