4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,879 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$62/mo
Annual
$747/yr
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.44%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($747/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Martin G Atkins Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,277 of 1,397 statewide, top 93%, 346 students, 95% FRL); Bridgeportspaulding Middle Schoolschrah (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 493 statewide, top 94%, 365 students, 97% FRL); Bridgeport High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #640 of 713 statewide, top 91%, 501 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 75% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29