1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
636 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 172 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,566/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$515
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$-232/mo
Annual
$-2,787/yr
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.16%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-232 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (29.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#673 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Elk Grove Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #165 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-JKWW9F6H25R9B7
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29