2441-2445 NW 52 St

Brownsville, FL 33142

$824,900C

None bd · None ba · — sqft · Built 2027 · MultiFamily · Active · 31 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $8,734/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,326
• Tax + insurance: −$1,375
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,834
• Net cashflow: $1,199/mo
• Annual: $14,390/yr
• Cap rate: 8.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.23%
• DSCR: 1.28
• 1% rule: 1.06%
• Cash to close: $230,972

Investor read

• This is a 3 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $825k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $400/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $825k).
• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $800k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#246 in FL, #3,900 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Earlington Heights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 340 students, 76% FRL); Brownsville Middle School (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #565 of 571 statewide, top 99%, 487 students, 71% FRL); Miami Northwestern Senior High (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,429 students, 75% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $8,734/mo this rent would consume 265% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 5748% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.