3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,181 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,669/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$631
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$-513/mo
Annual
$-6,157/yr
Cap rate
3.60%
Cash-on-cash
-9.60%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-513 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (39.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (27.1% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $138k (39.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#296 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Coolidge Elementary School (math 5% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,231 of 2,056 statewide, top 60%, 666 students, 0% FRL); Memorial Jr High School (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 860 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Fractnl So High School (math 11% / reading 14%, grade F, #504 of 693 statewide, top 73%, 1,927 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
9 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $185k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 5.9% in Lansing — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JMBD0F1DBTM7Y2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29