3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,546 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$429
Net cashflow
$-97/mo
Annual
$-1,162/yr
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (6.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (21.4% below list).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Holly Hall Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #614 of 860 statewide, top 75%, 436 students, 74% FRL); Bohemia Manor Middle (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #118 of 225 statewide, top 54%, 436 students, 48% FRL); Bohemia Manor High (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B-, #55 of 222 statewide, top 26%, 626 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $152k; list at $260k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.1% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29