3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$818
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$560/mo
Annual
$6,716/yr
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.38%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$43,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#242 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
School District 27J (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 86 in CO (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mary E Pennock Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #568 of 966 statewide, top 60%, 620 students, 43% FRL); Overland Trail Middle School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #225 of 270 statewide, top 84%, 538 students, 60% FRL); Brighton High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #209 of 381 statewide, top 56%, 1,854 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
24 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $156k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.2% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JMYGH30A4GRX5Z
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29