2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Condo
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,652/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$826
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$557
Net cashflow
$-528/mo
Annual
$-6,334/yr
Cap rate
3.86%
Cash-on-cash
-8.70%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-528 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $182k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant damage to the exterior siding is visible.
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage.
Major: interior walls and paint
— The interior walls and paint are not visible but given the overall condition, it is likely in poor shape.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible but given the overall condition, it is likely in poor shape.
Major: landscaping and curb appeal
— The landscaping and curb appeal are not visible but given the overall condition, it is likely in poor shape.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JN9S661FA35RFW
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29