3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,518 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$432
HOA
−$43
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-886/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.22%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$72,521
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-886/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $2,227/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 31% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JNDSSXDGXAQ9SM
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29