3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,060 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Other
· Active
· 237 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$390
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$662
Net cashflow
$267/mo
Annual
$3,201/yr
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.27%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$97,979
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $315k (9.8% below list).
It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $308k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#38 in MA, #1,837 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Longmeadow (suburban): math 50% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #63 of 302 in MA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $350k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Longmeadow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JNPVX9BMHA2ZQY
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29