3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,306 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,352/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$293
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$580
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$494
Net cashflow
$899/mo
Annual
$10,792/yr
Cap rate
25.60%
Cash-on-cash
68.95%
DSCR
4.07
1% rule
4.21%
Cash to close
$15,652
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $899 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Cumberland Valley SD (suburban): math 54% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #52 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Silver Spring El Sch (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B+, #181 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 516 students, 28% FRL); Eagle View Ms (math 39% / reading 67%, grade C+, #90 of 512 statewide, top 19%, 1,021 students, 29% FRL); Cumberland Valley Hs (math 66% / reading 24%, grade D-, #191 of 437 statewide, top 44%, 3,035 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JNRJXV6D9WWERK
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29